Arizona has a cost of living index of 103 (national average = 100). Arizona sits close to the national cost of living average, making the rent vs buy decision fairly balanced and highly sensitive to your specific situation, timeline, and local neighborhood.
At a 3-year horizon, renting in Arizona is typically the lower-risk option because the buy premium of $883/month has not yet been offset by equity accumulation and appreciation. By year 7, cumulative equity growth and home appreciation generally surpass the total rent premium paid. Beyond 7 years, buying in Arizona historically delivers stronger financial outcomes for most households.
Arizona has a state income tax of 2.5% flat. The mortgage interest deduction (federal) can reduce the effective cost of buying, particularly in the early years when interest makes up the bulk of your mortgage payment. Consult a tax professional to understand how Arizona's state tax rules interact with your overall housing deductions.